Eighth International Symposium on Natural and Technological Hazards
		Second Bulletin
		L I N K S
			Organized by  * The International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards  * The Tsunami Society
		Supported by	* DRS, DPRI, Kyoto University  * Tokushima University  * Tokushima Bunri University  * Japan Society for Natural Disaster Science  * Institute of Social Safety Science  * Japan Society of Disaster Information  * Tokushima Prefecture  * Tokushima City
		International Scientific Committee	* Prof. Russell Blong, Macquarie University, Australia (NHS President)  * Prof. Yoshiaki Kawata, Kyoto University, Japan  * Prof. Hitoshi Murakami, University of Tokushima, Japan  * Dr. Swaroop Reddy, NHS Treasurer, U.S.A.  * Dr. S. Venkatesh, Atmospheric Environment Service, Canada
		Local Organizing Committee	* Prof. Yoshiaki Kawata, Kyoto University (Chair, NHS Vice President)  * Prof. Hitoshi Murakami, University of Tokushima  * Prof. Kaoru Takara, Kyoto University  * Prof. Tadanobu Sato, Kyoto University  * Prof. Haruo Hayashi, Kyoto University  * Prof. Takeyoshi Tanaka, Kyoto University  * Prof. Fumio Yamazaki, University of Tokyo  * Prof. Fumihiko Imamura, Tohoku University  * Prof. Mitsuo Kawatani, Kobe University  * Prof. Ken-ichi Kusachi, Himeji Institute of Technology  * Prof. Yasunori Kozuki, University of Tokushima  * Mr. Mitsutaka Terui, Tokushima Prefecture  * Mr. Yoshiaki Shimada, Tokushima Prefecture  * Mr. Katsuhide Yamaguchi, Tokushima City
		Background	This International Symposium is the eighth in the continuing inter-disciplinary series begun in 1982. The Seventh Symposium was held in Chania, Crete Is., Greece in May 1998 and was attended by participants from over 25 countries around the world. The objectives of this series of symposia on Natural and Technological Hazards are to promote the advancement of hazard sciences, to perceive and explore those aspects that may be similar among some of the various hazards, to review the latest developments in several selected fields and to outline new directions for future research.
		Symposium Theme	Achieving the objectives of the symposia has taken on a new sense of urgency as a result of the large number of natural and technological disasters that have already occurred in various parts of the world in the 1990's, the UN's International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction. The list is long and includes among others, volcanic eruptions in the Philippines, storm surge related flooding in Bangladesh, oil spills and forest fires resulting from the Middle East conflict, floods in China, North America and Europe caused by heavy rains, earthquakes and tsunamis in Papua New Guinea, Japan and Columbia, hurricane damage in North and Central America. The human reaction and response to these disasters has varied widely from one disaster to the next. In view of these disasters the theme for HAZARDS 2000 is:                  Natural Disasters - How do we mitigate them? The Symposium organizing committee invites papers specifically related to the scientific, social, economic and political aspects of this theme with particular emphasis on case studies from recent major disasters. Other papers on natural and technological disasters will also be considered. With participants from many countries around the world, HAZARDS 2000 will be an excellent forum for exchange of knowledge and ideas on the subject of natural and technological disasters. This international symposium will be of interest to researchers, policy makers, disaster mitigation personnel and the insurance industry.
		Topics	* Geological hazards (earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, landslide, soil erosion, etc.)  * Meteorological hazards (hurricanes, typhoons, cyclones, droughts, desertification, etc.)  * Hydrological and Marine hazards (tsunamis, storm surges, floods, sea level rise, marine biological hazards, etc.)  * Technological hazards (air and water pollution)  * Disaster prevention, mitigation and management  * Economic, social and political aspects  * Public education and preparedness  * Adaptation and risk assessment  * Insurance  * Disaster information  * NGO, NPO and Volunteer  * Nankai earthquake and tsunami  * Pan-Pacific tsunami problem  * The IDNDR: A vehicle for action? The Symposium Program on the above topics will include keynote speakers, special invited talks and contributed papers.
		Secretariat	Toyoko Shimizu Research Center for Disaster Reduction Systems, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University Gokasho, Uji, Kyoto 611-0011, Japan. Tel: +81-774-38-4273 Fax: +81-774-38-4336 E-mail: shimizu@drs.dpri.kyoto-u.ac.jp
		Venue for the Symposium	The HAZARDS 2000 Symposium will be held at the Asty Tokushima and the Tokushima Bunri University. They are located in the suburb of Tokushima City. You can know their locations in this map. The city bus services is very convenient to reach Asty Tokushima and Tokushima Bunri University. Tokushima City Bus Time Table From Tokushima Station (at No.3 stop) to ASTY Tokushima and BUNRI University 08:15 To ASTY Tokushima Bus Stop 08:15 To BUNRI University Bus Stop 08:25 To BUNRI University Bus Stop 08:45 To BUNRI University Bus Stop 09:05 To ASTY Tokushima Bus Stop 09:20 To BUNRI University Bus Stop 09:40 To ASTY Tokushima Bus Stop 09:50 To ASTY Tokushima Bus Stop 10:00 To BUNRI University Bus Stop 10:25 To ASTY Tokushima Bus Stop 10:40 To ASTY Tokushima Bus Stop From ASTY Tokushima to Tokushima Station 16:35   16:55   17:00   17:15   17:45   18:10   Note: Approzimately, it takes around 20 minutes. It costs 200 yen. Please note that the welcome reception will be held at the Tokushima Prince Hotel and the symposium banquet will be held at the Awakanko Hotel. Addresses: Asty Tokushima 1 Higashi-hamaboji, Yamashiro-cho, Tokushima 770-8055 Tokushima Bunri University 180 Nishi-hamaboji, Yamashiro-cho,Tokushima 770-8514 Tokushima Prince Hotel 3-5-1, Mandai-cho, Tokushima 770-0941     (TEL: +81-88-624-1111, FAX: +81-88-624-2375) Awakanko Hotel 3-16-3, Ichiban-cho, Tokushima 770-0833     (TEL: +81-88-622-5161, FAX: +81-88-622-2857)
		Program	HAZARDS 2000 PROGRAM date morning afternoon evening May 21-Sunday     Welcom Reception 18:00-19:30 at Prince Hotel May 22-Monday Opening Ceremony Open Forum (Language: Japanese)   9:00-9:45 at Tokushima Bunri University 13:00~16:40 at Tokushima Bunri University Plenary Session:keynote lecture 9:45-11:30 at Tokushima Bunri University May 23-Tuesday Special Session (Room D) Parallel Sessions (Room A, B and C)   9:30-11:30 at ASTY Tokushima 13:00-17:20 at ASTY Tokushima May 24-Wednesday Parallel Sessions (Room A, B and C) Parallel Sessions (Room A, B and C) Symposium Dinner 9:30-11:30 at ASTY Tokushima 13:00-17:20 at ASTY Tokushima 19:00~ at Awakanko Hotel May 25-Thursday Technical Visit   8:00~17:00 Memorial Spots of Tsunami Disaster in Tokushima
		Plenary Session: keynote lecture	Title: Protection of Cultural Heritages from Post Earthquake Fires Kenzo Toki Professor, Graduate School of Civil Engineering, Kyoto University, JAPAN Title: Disaster Mitigation - the next ten years Russell Blong President, Natural Hazards Society & Professor Natural Hazards Research Centre, Macquarie University, AUSTRALIA
		Language	The language of the Symposium will be English except the Open Forum. Because the Open Forum will be opened to local citizens, the language will be Japanese.
		Presentation	Time 20 minutes (including discussion) Equipment Overhead projector Film slide projector Video projector Note Video projector can be used with Macintosh and PC. However, any computers will be not prepared. Please use your own computer. Video player will not be prepared also.
		Post Symposium Publication of Papers	The Symposium participants are encouraged to submit their papers for publication at the regular issues of the journal "Natural Hazards" which is published by Kluwer Academic Publisheres of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards. The Organizing Committee examines also the possibility for accepting selected papers from the Symposium to be peer-reviewed and published in the book series "Recent Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research". This book series is published by Kluwer Academic Publishers.
		Registration Fees	NHS members All Others Symposium Participants Before April 1,2000 30,000yen 33,000yen After April 1,2000 or On-Site 33,000yen 36,000yen Accompanying Persons 10,000yen 11,000yen "Symposium Participant" registration fees include:  * Welcome reception (May 21)  * Symposium banquet (May 24)  * Symposium Program  * Book of Abstracts and other symposium documents  * Attendance at all scientific sessions  * Inter-session coffee breaks  * A symposium organized technical visit "Accompanying Persons" registration fees include:  * Welcome reception (May 21)  * Symposium banquet (May 24)  * Symposium Program  * A symposium organized technical visit Please return completed Registration Form to Hazards 2000 Secretariat.
		Currency	Yen is the national currency in Japan. Please refer this web site to know the rate.
		Travel Agent	The official travel agent of the Hazards 2000 is: Air Travel Tokushima, Inc. 1-6 Saiwai-cho, Tokushima 770-0847, Japan Tel: +81-88-625-5551 Fax: +81-88-653-2344 E-mail: project@air-travel.co.jp Note: Please designate that you will participate with Hazards 2000.
		How to Reach Tokushima City	Tokushima City can be reached from most international airport via the Kansai International Airport. The rimousine bus is very convenient from the airport to Tokushima. The bus time table and the fare are here. You can get more information from this page. And you can ask the official travel agent about transportation concerned with Hazards 2000. For Tokushima For Kansai International Airport Kansai International Airport Tokushima Station Tokushima Station Kansai International Airport 6:10 8:50 5:00 7:40 7:10 9:50 5:40 8:20 8:35 11:15 6:20 9:00 9:35 12:15 7:00 9:40 11:10 13:50 8:00 10:40 12:10 14:50 9:20 12:00 14:10 16:50 10:20 13:00 15:10 17:50 11:20 14:00 16:10 18:50 13:00 15:40 17:10 19:50 14:00 16:40 18:10 20:50 15:20 18:00 19:10 21:50 16:20 19:00 20:10 22:50 18:20 21:00 21:20 24:00 19:20 22:00 4,000 yen (Adult)          2,000 yen (Child)          160 minutes
		Weather Conditions	The meteorological data in Tokushima are given below:   May June Atmospheric temperature   Average 18.6 C 22.1 C Maximum 23.0 C 25.8 C Minimum 14.5 C 18.9 C Average number of sunny hours per day   6.19 4.93 Relative humidity   70% 76%
		Hotel Accommodation	Blocks of rooms have been reserved of the following hotels. You can know their locations in this map. Please get on to the official travel agent and make a reservation. Tokushima Prince Hotel (3-5-1,Mandai-cho,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0941) TEL: 081-88-624-1111 FAX: 081-88-624-2375 RATE: Single 9,000 yen Twin single use 12,000 yen INTERNET: Possible ACCESS: 20 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 10 min. from Tokushima Station by car 25 min. from main hall on foot 15 min. from main hall by car Hotel Clement Tokushima (61,Nishi-1-chome,Terashimahoncho,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0831) TEL: 081-88-656-3111 FAX: 088-656-3132 RATE: Single 9,500 yen INTERNET: Possible ACCESS: 1 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 35 min. from main hall on foot 20 min. from main hall by car Awakanko Hotel (3-16-3,Ichiban-cho,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0833) TEL: 088-622-5161 FAX: 088-622-2857 RATE: Single 9,500 yen Twin 9,000 yen Double single use 13,000 yen INTERNET: Possible ACCESS: 10 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 5 min. from Tokushima Station by car 35 min. from main hall on foot 20 min. from main hall by car Tokushima Park Hotel (32-1,2-chome,Tokushima-cho,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0852) TEL: 088-625-3311 FAX: 088-625-3319 RATE: Single 9,000 yen Twin 8,000 yen Twin single use 12,000 yen INTERNET: Possible ACCESS: 10 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 5 min. from Tokushima Station by car 25 min. from main hall on foot 15 min. from main hall by car Century Plaza Hotel (1-46-1,Minamishouwa-cho,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0944) TEL: 088-655-3333 FAX: 088-655-2190 RATE: Single 9,500 yen INTERNET: Impossible ACCESS: 30 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 20 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 10 min. from main hall on foot 5 min. from main hall by car Hotel Marston Green (1-12,Ryogokuhoncho,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0843) TEL: 088-654-1777 FAX: 088-652-8104 RATE: Single 9,000 yen INTERNET: Impossible ACCESS: 10 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 5 min. from Tokushima Station by car 25 min. from main hall on foot 15 min. from main hall by car Hotel Sunshine Tokushima Annex (2-7-1,Minamidekijima-cho,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0824) TEL: 088-622-2333 FAX: 088-622-5253 RATE: Single 9,000 yen Twin 8,500 yen INTERNET: Impossible ACCESS: 10 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 5 min. from Tokushima Station by car 35 min. from main hall on foot 20 min. from main hall by car Hotel Sunshine Tokushima (2-7-1,Minamidekijima-cho,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0824) TEL: 088-622-2333 FAX: 088-622-5253 RATE: Single 8,000 yen Twin 7,500 yen INTERNET: Impossible ACCESS: 10 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 5 min. from Tokushima Station by car 35 min. from main hall on foot 20 min. from main hall by car Alpha Hotel Tokushima (11,2-chome,Higashidaikumachi,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0905) TEL: 088-655-0222 FAX: 088-655-0606 RATE: Single 9,050 yen INTERNET: Impossible ACCESS: 10 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 5 min. from Tokushima Station by car 25 min. from main hall on foot 15 min. from main hall by car Tokushima Washington Hotel Plaza (61,1-chome,Oomichi,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0923) TEL: 088-653-7111 FAX: 088-654-3111 RATE: Single 9,900 yen REMARKS: Two days (21 and 22 May) only INTERNET: Impossible ACCESS: 10 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 8 min. from Tokushima Station by car 20 min. from main hall on foot 10 min. from main hall by car Tokushima Tokyu Inn (24,1-chome,Motomachi,Tokushima-shi,Tokushima,Japan 770-0834) TEL: 088-656-0109 FAX: 088-626-0686 RATE: Single 8,500 yen REMARKS: Two days (21 and 22 May) only INTERNET: Possible ACCESS: 3 min. from Tokushima Station on foot 35 min. from main hall on foot 20 min. from main hall by car NOTE: RATE includes Service Charge and Breakfast, and excludes Tax. Please reconfirm the rate when you make a reservation. NOTE: "Possible" of INTERNET means that you can get access to the Internet, if you have YOUR OWN computer and ID of ISP (Internet service provider). The hotels can NOT provide any computers and IDs for you.
		Technical Tour	The following four tours will be prepared. Maximum passengers in each tour is 40. You can make an entry at the reception desk. Date: Thursday, 25th May 2000 Destination: Asakawa, Kainan Town, a tsunami-damaged area. On Thursday the 25th of May at 8a.m, 4 buses will depart from Tokushima Station to take you to visit Asakawa, Kainan Town, an area in the south of Tokushima Prefecture that has been afflicted by a number of tsunamis. You will be divided into 4 groups, A - D, as described below. After observing the area that was damaged we will return to Tokushima City. On the way we will also visit the following well-known facilities: 'Caretta'- the sea turtle museum in Hiwasa Town / 'Mollusc Mugi'- a shell museum in Mugi Town, 'Kainan-cho Bunka Mura'- cultural facilities in Kainan Town, 'Maze-no-oka' - outdoor recreation facilities in Kainan Town, and the Tokushima City 'Awa Odori Kaikan'. We plan to finish the day's activities at approximately 5p.m. Asakawa, the area we will be observing, is located at the center of a V-shaped bay, typical of tsunami-susceptible areas, and as such has suffered several devastating tsunamis in the past. In the earthquake and tsunami that occurred on December 21 1946 on the Kansai Pacific Coast area, the Tokushima coastal area suffered the most fatalities, with 85 people losing their lives. The Kainan Town local authorities have developed comprehensive measures in order to prepare for the event of another such disaster. These include establishing an evacuation center, attaching a devise to street lights to ensure they will not go out in a power cut, introducing a disaster crew assembly system and an emergency warning system, holding evacuation drills, and producing a disaster prevention elementary school supplementary reading book. Additionally, tsunami breakwater walls have been constructed along the coast throughout Tokushima Prefecture. A-group: Tokushima Station == Caretta == Kainan Town == Awa Odori Kaikan B-group: Tokushima Station == Mollusc == Kainan Town == Awa Odori Kaikan C-group: Tokushima Station == Kainan Town ==Caretta == Awa Odori Kaikan D-group: Tokushima Station == Kainan Town == Mollusc == Awa Odori Kaikan  * Caretta: a sea turtle museum in Hiwasa Town. This picturesque area is famous for the sea turtles that come to lay their eggs here.  * Mollusc Mugi: a shell museum in Mugi Town that features Japan's only display of all three of the Japanese 'Three Rare Treasures'.